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Modeling case burden and duration of Sudan Ebola virus disease outbreak in Uganda, 2022
Bisanzio, D., Bosa, H. K., Bakamutumaho, B., Nasimiyu, C., Atwine, D., Kyabayinze, D., Olaro, C., Breiman, R. F., Njenga, M. K., Mwebesa, H., Aceng, J. R., & Reithinger, R. (2025). Modeling case burden and duration of Sudan Ebola virus disease outbreak in Uganda, 2022. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 31(9), 1829-1832. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid3109.241545
In 2022, a Sudan Ebola virus outbreak was confirmed in Uganda. Within 1 month of the outbreak's onset, we developed an individual-based modeling platform to estimate the unfolding outbreak's burden of cases and deaths, as well as its duration, using different scenarios. Modeled projections were within the range of observed cases.
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